Sunday 29 May 2016

UK Summer Box Office Predictions!

Summer movie season is almost here! There is a lot in store this summer with their being some potentially great comedies as well as other instalments in past franchises. Earlier in the year me and a couple of friends decided to predict the outcomes of the 2016 Oscars and had a great time in doing so! So to try and recreate what we did, we felt it would be good to predict who will be the top of the summer box office. 



To be eligible for our lists the film will have to have come out after the 31st of May and before the 1st of September. The summer in the UK really isn't that long and with the weather, you would think that it lasts less than the three months in the boundary. We decided to only allow films that come out between this timeline as an extra challenge as we all know that the likes of Captain America: Civil War and X-Men Apocalypse will be up their at the end. Also with the UK releases, some may not be actually out during the summer like they are in America. All the films in our lists will be from the UK releases which means that the likes of TMNT 2 and Warcraft narrowly miss out.
This time in our predictions it will be featuring five different people with five different predictions. It will be myself Angus-obviously- as well as the returning Michael and Drew. Also returning is the winner of our Oscar predictions Billy who will be looking to make it 2/2 when it comes to predictions. Joining us this time will be our fellow classmate Conor who makes his first appearance.

Scoring System
To decide who the eventual winner is, we will use a scoring system. If one of us predicts that a film will be in the top 10, they will get one point. An additional two points will be giving to the competitor if they guess the film in the right position.

The Lists

Billy

Starting off is Billy, the winner of our Oscar predictions back in February. His list has Central Intelligence the highest in anyone's list at number two. Billy's list also features The Secret Life of Pets in it's highest position at number four. He is also the only one to have picked Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates which could tip the result into his favour or even possibly cost him.

Number 1: Finding Dory
Dark Horse: Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates

Full List
1. Finding Dory
2. Central Intelligence
3. Suicide Squad
4. The Secret Life of Pets
5. Ghostbusters
6. Independence Day: Resurgence
7. Star Trek Beyond
8. The BFG
9. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates
10. The Conjuring 2

The Dark Horse for Billy; Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates


Conor

Next up is the complete new entrant to our predictions Conor. Like Billy, he has Finding Dory at the top of his list expecting the Pixar sequel to dominate. He has Ryan Gosling and Russell Crowe's The Nice Guys the highest at number four and also putting great faith in Steven Spielberg's The BFG by placing it in third place. 

Number 1: Finding Dory
Dark Horse; The Nice Guys

Full List
1. Finding Dory
2. Suicide Squad
3. The BFG
4. The Nice Guys
5. The Secret Life of Pets
6. Independence Day: Resurgence
7. Ghostbusters
8. Now You See Me 2
9. Jason Bourne
10. The Conjuring 2

Conor has The Nice Guys at number 4, the highest of anyone in the predictions.


Michael

Third in our predictions is Michael who has the most potential to cause an upset. If the likes of The Nice Guys and Now You See Me 2 as well as Ice Age: Collision Course do well at the box office, he could end up sitting comfortably in the lead. Michael has also put the most faith in Paul Feig's already controversial Ghostbusters placing it in third place. Possibly the most interesting list in the competition. 

Number 1: Suicide Squad
Dark Horse: Ice Age: Collision Course

Full List
1. Suicide Squad
2. Finding Dory
3. Ghostbusters
4. Independence Day: Resurgence
5. Central Intelligence
6. Star Trek Beyond
7. The BFG
8. Now You See Me 2
9. Ice Age: Collision Course
10. The Nice Guys

The strange but possibly effective decision to include Ice Age may be vital for Michael.



Drew

Like Michael, Drew has also put his faith in the likes of Jared Leto and Margot Robbie as he looks for Suicide Squad to top the box office. He also has Jason Bourne highest out of anyone expecting it to finish third overall as Matt Damon returns as the titular character. The inclusion of the remake of Ben-Hur may be the most surprising in all of the lists but it's too soon to rule it out of contention.

Number 1: Suicide Squad
Dark Horse: Ben-Hur

Full List
1. Suicide Squad
2. Finding Dory
3. Jason Bourne
4. The BFG
5. The Nice Guys
6. Star Trek Beyond
7. Ghostbusters
8. Independence Day: Resurgence
9. Central Intelligence
10. Ben-Hur

The most surprising entrant in all of the predictions, Ben-Hur



Angus

Last of all is my list, the most likely list. I have put my faith in Independence Day: Resurgence despite Will Smith not returning with it at the highest position of anyone at number three. Finishing my list I have The Conjuring 2 as well as being the only one to have Sausage Party in their list at number ten.

Number 1: Finding Dory
Dark Horse: Sausage Party

Full List
1. Finding Dory
2. Suicide Squad
3. Independence Day: Resurgence
4. Ghostbusters
5. The Secret Life of Pets
6. Jason Bourne
7. The BFG
8. Star Trek: Beyond
9. The Conjuring 2
10. Sausage Party

The Rated R animated film Sausage Party was picked only by myself (Angus)
Overall Breakdown


Angus
Billy
Conor
Drew
Michael
1. Finding Dory
1. Finding Dory
1. Finding Dory
1. Suicide Squad
1. Suicide Squad
2. Suicide Squad
2. Central Intelligence
2. Suicide Squad
2.  Finding Dory
2. Finding Dory
3. Independence Day: Resurgence
3. Suicide Squad
3. The BFG
3.Jason Bourne
3. Ghostbusters
4. Ghostbusters
4. The Secret Life of Pets
4. The Nice Guys
4. The BFG
4. Independence Day: Resurgence
5. The Secret Life of Pets
5. Ghostbusters
5. Secret Life of Pets
5. The Nice Guys
5. Central Intelligence
6. Jason Bourne
6. Independence Day: Resurgence
6. Independence Day: Resurgence
6.Star Trek: Beyond
6.Star Trek Beyond
7. The BFG
7. Star Trek Beyond
7. Ghostbusters
7. Ghostbusters
7. The BFG
8. Star Trek Beyond
8. The BFG
8. Now You See Me 2
8. Independence Day: Resurgence
8. Now You See Me 2
9. The Conjuring 2
9. Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates
9. Jason Bourne
9. Central Intelligence
9. Ice Age: Collision Course
10. Sausage Party
10. The Conjuring 2
10. The Conjuring 2
10. Ben Hur
10. The Nice Guys

So as you can see there is quite a lot of differences between each of our lists. Positioning could easily be the deciding factor with films such as Finding Dory, Suicide Squad and Ghostbusters making everyone lists in different positions. The exclusions of films before June made this much harder than it could of been and did pose a challenge at times. This has most definitely added a bit more spice to this summers movies and I look forward to seeing who comes out on top in a couple of months.


During the time period, all of these movies will be reviewed as well as many more so make sure to keep reading my blog. I'd like to know who you think will top the box office in your region and also what you think of our lists. Once again thank you for reading, it is much appreciated!

By Angus McGregor

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